Republican Party candidate Donald Trump has been elected as the 47th President of the United States. Donald Trump is the second figure in American political history who, after falling from political power, managed to win the elections again and become president again. Trump’s election victory has many political and global implications. This will have implications for American domestic policy and economy, foreign policy and diplomacy, and global politics. It is also important for political relations between India and America. Trump showed the dream of the “American Dream” in the election and his political message and acceptance were seen by the American people. He benefited from this in the tough and challenging competition. It is important to note a few important points here.
How Donald Trump’s popularity increased
Donald Trump received 301 electoral votes. This is also important because he only received 232 electoral votes in the last presidential election in 2020. One reason for this major electoral surge and victory is Trump’s victory in states generally considered Democratic Party strongholds. Compared to 2020, Trump received 16 electoral votes in Georgia, 20 in Pennsylvania and 10 in Wisconsin this time. He also won in Arizona, Michigan and Nevada. Trump lost in all of these states in the last election. In particular, he was unable to win in Nevada even in the 2016 elections.
Speaking of other numbers: In the 2016 election, Hillary Clinton was 2 percent ahead of Trump in the popular vote, but trailed him in the popular vote. In the 2020 presidential election, Trump’s electoral vote fell by just half a percent, but his electoral vote count fell to 232. It’s important to crunch the numbers to understand why the Republican Party, led by Donald Trump, has had the most since 1988 received votes. This time he received about 51% of the popular vote. The 47% share of the vote that Kamala Harris received is the lowest for the Democratic Party since 1992.
The special thing about the American presidential election is that, despite a higher number of popular votes, if you lag behind in the electoral votes, you lose the election. If we look at the results, Donald Trump emerged victorious in both the popular vote and the election, which is a testament to his personal popularity. The clear message is that Trump was ahead in terms of personal popularity and there was a big difference between him and Kamala Harris in both polls. If we look at another number, Trump’s vote share increased in 19 out of 20 states where the Democratic Party won in 2020. In addition, Trump has increased his margin of victory in the Republican Party’s stronghold. Obviously, his personal popularity peaked in this election and he benefited politically from it.
Penetration among black voters and youth
This time, support from non-white voters for Trump’s victory is also unprecedented. In the 2020 election, Joe Biden managed to conduct a socially inclusive experiment against Trump, but this time the election did not show the same. According to AP VoteCast poll data, there was enthusiasm for Trump among non-white voters, particularly early voters. While there was an even split between the two parties among whites, 41% of non-whites voted for Trump this time, compared to 35% last time. People from the Hispanic group were also seen as Trump supporters. Black voters also favored the Republican Party at 15%, compared to 8% in 2020.
What is particularly noteworthy is the enthusiasm and hope of young voters towards Trump. Among working-age people over 30, 47% voted for Republican candidate Donald Trump this time, compared to 36% last time. All of these numbers are evidence of the growing political trend of the Republican Party and Donald Trump and their social acceptance of this electoral politics.
What is the result from the Indian perspective?
The success of this election victory in democratic states makes Trump’s political acceptance more credible. When we talk about issues, 39% of voters consider the economy to be an important campaign issue. Economic issues dominated Donald Trump’s election campaign, which benefited him. His vision of the American dream was linked to America’s economic prosperity as well as the employment, prosperity, and social structure of the American people that impacted the common people. At the same time, key Democratic Party issues such as women’s rights and abortion, health care and racism failed to have an impact on ordinary people.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi also called Donald Trump to congratulate him on his big victory and expressed his commitment to cooperation. Trump’s victory is important for India in many ways. From an economic perspective, there may be an increase in manufacturing and defense sectors between the two countries. His focus is on strengthening American manufacturing and military capabilities. In such a situation, things could be better for Indian defense companies like Bharat Dynamics and HAL. During Trump’s previous term, India-America relations had intensified on the diplomatic and diplomatic fronts. In such a situation, the same thing can be expected this time too. This will be particularly important with regard to relations with Canada. Although Trump has talked about tariffs before. In such a situation, it will be interesting to see his stand on the issue this time.
Abhishek Pratap Singh
Abhishek Pratap Singh teaches “Global Politics” at Deshbandhu College, University of Delhi. He has a particular interest in West Asian affairs. Abhishek can be contacted at apsinghvisen@gmail.com.
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