Washington. A few days before the election in the US state of Iowa, US Vice President Kamala Harris left former President Donald Trump behind in a survey. These latest numbers surprise political experts since Iowa was already considered a safe state for Republicans. According to the Des Moines Register newspaper’s Selzer poll, Harris leads her rival Trump by three points. It’s worth noting that Iowa is not among the seven battleground states for the 2024 election and the state voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020.
Pollsters don’t pay much attention to any one poll, but Selzer is considered a reputable pollster with a good track record in Iowa. According to the poll, Harris has 47 percent support among likely voters, while Trump has 44 percent support. However, a September poll from the same organization showed Trump with a four-point lead over Harris, while a June poll showed him with an 18-point lead over then-presidential candidate Joe Biden.
Is Iowa going blue?
It’s still too early to tell if Iowa State will turn blue, but the latest data has surprised many. “Nobody thought this would happen,” pollster Jay Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., told the Register. She has clearly taken a dominant position. Interestingly, this poll says that women are driving this shift toward Harris in the state. In fact, states that support Republicans are called Red (Red) and states that support Democrats are called Blue (Blue).
As soon as the survey was released, most experts and survey participants were shocked and surprised. However, it was also reported that Trump was still leading in Iowa, according to a rival polling group. David Axelrod, a former top adviser to former US President Barack Obama, said: “This is a shocking poll, but Ann Selzer has as excellent a track record of predicting election results as any pollster.” Women are driving this surge. Signal for the country?”
Iowa poll: Kamala Harris is ahead in the state, Donald Trump has won twice
This is a stunning survey. But Ann Seltzer has as great a record at predicting election results in her state as any pollster.
Women are driving this recovery. Signs for the country?? https://t.co/CNJfcQKXja—David Axelrod (@davidaxelrod) November 2, 2024
